Prolonged contact with a person infected Covid-19 increases the probability of being infected, because the number of inoculated virus increases, whereas if you just pass in the street next to a patient, the probability of contracting the virus is practically nil, says a Romanian established in France.
80% of coronavirus infections do not actually require hospitalization, being "benign", according to the doctor. Regarding mortality from coronavirus, the most affected are the elderly - over 70 and 80 years - where the mortality rate is almost double that of the flu.
This is an epidemic with a new virus called SARS-COV2 because it looks like the one that caused SARS in 2003. The name of the disease is Covid-19. Following the publications in medical journals, we know that:
The contagiousness is high enough, R0 is 2.2; This means that each patient infected on average 2.2 people. For influenza is 1.3. This is quite problematic because it means that the virus can spread quickly.
The incubation period is on average 5.2 days (12 days, with a confidence interval of 95%). That is, if you have nothing in the two weeks following possible contact or travel in the infected area, you will have nothing more.
Influenza mortality is about 0.1%. In the case of the SARS-COV2 virus, it is 2 to 3% in China but appears to be about 1% outside China. It should be noted that mortality was 15% for over 80 years and 8% between 70 and 80 years. As we consider that most patients are asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic, it is likely that mortality is much lower.
Now some important facts: 80% of cases are benign, meaning they do not require hospital visits. The contagiousness is generally correlated with the severity of symptoms; that is to say, prolonged contact with a sick person increases the likelihood of being infected because of the number of inoculated viruses increases. If you pass the street next to a patient, the probability is practically zero.
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